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Aston Villa FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion, English Premier League 2025-26, Today Match Prediction

Villa Park, Birmingham

High-Flying Villa Host Wounded Seagulls

  • Aston Villa are averaging 1.5 goals per game at Villa Park this season.
  • Aston Villa at least one goal in each of the last three Premier League matches against Brighton.
  • Seven of the last eight meetings between these two sides have seen over 2.5 goals.

Aston Villa to Win (2-1)

Tournament: English Premier League 2025-26 | Venue: Villa Park, Birmingham

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Following a 1–1 draw with Brentford, Aston Villa return home to host a Brighton side desperate to snap a five-match winless run. 

Both teams are searching for a vital response in this Match week 26 encounter, especially after Villa narrowly edged out a seven-goal thriller in the reverse fixture.

Current Standings: Aston Villa are currently placed third in the points table with 47 points, while Brighton are 14th with 31 points. 

Head-to-Head Record: Villa leads the head-to-head battles between the teams in the Premier League with a win-loss record of 8-2  in 13 matches. 

Aston Villa FC Preview

Hoping to complete a league double over  Bournemouth, Villa instead had to settle for a frustrating 1–1 draw despite Morgan Rogers giving them an early boost in the 25th minute. Things could have ended far worse if not for Emi Martínez’s brilliant late double save to deny Christie. 

The dropped points leave the Villans nine adrift of leaders Arsenal and three behind Manchester City in second. And more worryingly, Unai Emery’s side are stuttering at the wrong time, having struggled for goals and points in back-to-back games after the shock 1–0 defeat to 10-man Brentford.

Stats that matter 

1. Villa failed to win a Premier League game in which they scored the opening goal for the first time since September against Sunderland (1-1).
2. Only Erling Haaland (8) and Igor Thiago (7) have scored more Premier League away goals this season than Villa’s Rogers (6).
3. Ollie Watkins has scored more goals (9) and goal involvements (11) against Brighton than he has against any other side in the league. 

Team News 

Beyond the long-term absentees, Aston Villa have no new injury concern or suspensions to worry about ahead to the mid-week fixture. 

Aston Villa Probable Starting Lineup - Martinez (GK); Cash, Konsa, Mings, Digne, Onana, Luiz, Sancho, Rogers, Buendia, Watkins. 

Brighton & Hove Albion Preview

Shutting down Ollie Watkins will be top of the agenda, given his prolific record against them and the damage he did in the reverse fixture with a first-half brace. Beyond that, Fabian Hürzeler will still be seething after watching his side slip to a narrow 1–0 defeat against Crystal Palace — a team that hadn’t won in 13 league games. 

However, the one bright spark came from the game in the form of 17-year-old Harry Howell, whose lively moments in the final third stood out.

In the meantime, that loss stretched their winless league run to five games (D3 L2), but a victory on Wednesday night could still see them climb as high as tenth.

Stats that matter 

1. Brighton have one only once in their last 12 Premier League matches (D6 L5).
2. The Seagulls have gone winless in their last five home fixtures (D2 L3).
3. Brighton have won just three of their last 26 Premier League matches played on Wednesday (D11 L12). 

Team News 

Aside from Mats Wieffer, Yasin Ayari and Solly March — all nearing returns in mid-February — and the long-term absentees, Hurzeler has another concern with Jan Paul van Hecke rated doubtful for the midweek fixture. In the meantime, Diego Gomez having mixed the last fixture is expected to be in contention for the upcoming one. 

Brighton Probable Starting Lineup - Verbruggen (GK); Cuyper, Boscagli, Dunk, Kadioglu, GroB, Baleba, Rutter, Howell, Mitoma, Kostoulas. 

Judging this one purely on form is tricky, with both sides finding wins hard to come by — Brighton more so. The broader picture, though, tilts the balance. Villa have won seven of their last nine Premier League games, while Brighton have just one win in their last six trips to Villa Park. 

On that evidence, Villa look best placed to take all three points, with a draw likely the Seagulls’ best possible outcome.  

Aston Villa to Win (2-1)

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Author: Vishnu Reddy