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Aston Villa Target Home Comforts After Arsenal Defeat
Aston Villa to Win (2-0)
Tournament: English Premier League 2025-26 | Venue: Villa Park, Birmingham
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Aston Villa begin the New Year at Villa Park with a 6 PM (IST) kickoff Saturday against Nottingham Forest, determined to respond after a humbling 4-1 defeat to Arsenal. Unai Emery’s side will be keen to reset and make a statement on home soil.
Nottingham Forest, meanwhile, arrive desperate for a spark to arrest a campaign that has drifted downhill for much of the season. With both sides having plenty at stake, this weekend clash promises drama and intensity in equal measure.
Current Standings: Currently, Villa are placed third in the league standings with 39 points, while Forest remain stuck at the bottom half of the table with 18 points in the 17th position.
Head-to-Head Record: In 16 matches that have been played between the teams, Villa edges out Forest with a 8-3 win record.
What was billed as a stern test ended in disappointment for Aston Villa, as their year-ending clash with Arsenal unravelled in emphatic fashion. After holding firm early on, the Villans were swept aside by four second-half goals in a bruising 4-1 defeat. Despite posting a healthy xG of 2.67, Villa’s only reward arrived late in stoppage time through the ever-reliable Ollie Watkins.
That defeat not only brought Aston Villa’s impressive 11-game unbeaten run across competitions to a halt, but also saw them end the year six points adrift of leaders Arsenal. Still, there is comfort for Unai Emery’s men as regardless of Saturday’s outcome against Forest, Villa will retain third place, sitting a healthy six points clear of fourth-placed Liverpool.
Stats that matter
1. Aston Villa have won their last 10 home games across all competitions.
2. Ollie Watkins has three goals from his last two Premier League appearances.
3. Villa have scored at least one goal in each of their last 12 games across all competitions.
Team News
Boosted by the return of Matty Cash and Boubacar Kamara from suspension, Aston Villa regain some much-needed stability ahead of the fixture. However, there are still question marks over the availability of Amadou, with Tyler Mings and Pau Torres also racing against time to be fit.
Aston Villa Probable XI - Martinez (GK) ; Cash, Konsa, Lindelof, Maatsen (Defenders); Kamara, Tielemans, McGinn; Morgan Rogers, Malen, Watkins (Forwards).
Forest’s 2025 ended on a sour note with three straight defeats, the latest a chastening 2-0 home loss to an injury-hit Everton missing seven regular starters. Despite dominating the ball with 70% possession — their highest in the Premier League era — and firing off 21 shots, wastefulness proved costly, leading to an 11th defeat of the season and a fourth in five games, leaving the Tricky Trees just four points above the drop zone.
Stats that matter
1. Nottingham Forest attempted 52 crosses versus Everton, their most in a single match since their return to the Premier League.
2. The game with Everton was the 10th time this season that Forest had gone goalless, which by the way is the most by a side in the Premier League this season.
3. Forest tend to start the year brightly, having won five of their last seven opening fixtures in a calendar year.
Team News
Nottingham Forest have no fresh injury worries, but they will still be without key names as Ola Aina, Ryan Yates and Chris Wood remain sidelined, alongside those away on AFCON duty.
Nottingham Forest Probable XI - Victor (GK); Savona, Murillo, Milenkovic, Williams (Defenders); Anderson, Dominguez, Gibbs-White (Midfielders); Hutchinson, Hudson-Odoi, Jesus (Forwards).
After the disappointment of their last outing, Aston Villa will be keen to set things right against Forest. Their formidable home form—eight straight wins—combined with an unbeaten run in six home meetings against Forest, makes the Villans clear favourites. Add to that the contrasting form of the two sides, and backing a Villa win feels the sensible call. The bookmakers agree as well, pricing Villa at 1.75 for victory, with Forest at 4.50 and the draw at 3.90.
Aston Villa to Win (2-0)
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