Moldova vs Italy, FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualifiers, Today Match Prediction

Moldova vs Italy Match Prediction & Analysis

Moldova will host Italy at the Zimbru Stadium on November 14, 2025, at 1:15 AM IST. Italy took a 2-0 win in their last meeting in June, and they come into this match with confidence again. However, Moldova have looked sharper at home, pressing with more confidence and coordination. Meanwhile, Italy aims to keep the ball and control the tempo. Even so, the visitors have better individual quality, which could decide the key moments. 

TEAMS PREVIEW

Moldova Preview

Moldova come into this stage of the qualifiers in a difficult position, and the numbers show why. They have played six matches and have not won any, while their goal difference stands at -22. They score an average of 0.33 goals per match and concede 3.67, which shows how often games slip away from them. The 11–1 defeat against Norway in September 2025 had a strong effect, and it led to coach Serghei Cleșcenco stepping down two days later.

However, the squad still depends on a few familiar names. Ion Nicolaescu remains the main attacking option, as he has scored 17 goals in 54 appearances and previously finished as the top scorer in a UEFA Euro qualifying group.

Meanwhile, Mihail Caimacov and Artur Ioniță featured in the September fixtures, though Caimacov has now played his last international match. Moldova now looks for stability, clearer roles, and a way to slow games down and build confidence again.

Moldova predicted lineup (5-3-2): Cojuhari, Reabciuk, Gherasimescu, Plătică, Crăciun, Forov; Bogaciuc, Rață, Caimac; Postolachi, Nicolaescu.

Italy Preview

Italy head into this part of the qualifiers with mixed results behind them, and they continue to play under pressure. They have scored an average of 2.4 goals per match across ten games, while conceding 1.6, which shows both their attacking threat and their defensive concerns.

They also average 7.2 shots on target per match and have taken 37 corners, a number that ranks well among teams in the group. Their 2-0 victory over Moldova in June 2025 showed control, but Norway exposed weaknesses during a 3-0 defeat, and that result caused Luciano Spalletti to resign.

Meanwhile, the scoring responsibility has been spread across the front line. Mateo Retegui leads with five goals, Moise Kean follows with four, and Giacomo Raspadori has contributed three. Even so, Italy are sitting close to a playoff path once again, and they now try to tighten the defence while keeping their attacking rhythm.

Italy predicted lineup (3-4-3): Donnarumma; Calafiori, Bastoni, Di Lorenzo; Dimarco, Tonali, Locatelli, Orsolini; Raspadori, Retegui, Politano. 

MOLDOVA vs ITALY
Winning Prediction

Italy look in a stronger position to control the match, and their squad includes more players used to high-level competition. Moldova have shown brief improvement, yet the heavy loss to Norway still hangs over their defensive confidence. If Italy score first, the hosts may struggle to stay organised. Italy should move the ball through midfield with assurance, push their wing-backs high, and maintain steady pressure. A comfortable win for Italy is the likely outcome. 

Italy to Win (4-0)

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